Football statistics, market context, and model-signal basics.
OriginStats is a football analytics workspace for people who want fixtures, live scores, market movement, market medians, and model signals in one place. It helps you compare matches faster and understand the information behind each fixture before you decide what deserves deeper review.
The fixtures page gives you a daily view of football matches with status filters, date navigation, team and league search, live states, scores, and market context. Use it as a starting point to scan the slate, open match details, and shortlist the fixtures you want to analyse more carefully.
Quick links for the main football data views:
OriginStats provides football statistics, model context, market snapshots, and settled outcome review. It is built to organise information so users can make their own informed decisions with care.
OriginStats combines match data, league context, available market information, and model outputs to highlight fixtures that stand out statistically. The goal is to help you prioritise the matches worth reviewing.
Useful places to continue your workflow:
Asian Handicap is a football market where one team receives a virtual goal advantage or disadvantage before the result is graded. Instead of only choosing home, draw, or away, Asian Handicap focuses on whether a team performs better than the market line. Some lines can settle in partial outcomes, which makes the model view more precise than a simple 1X2 outcome.
OriginStats analyses Asian Handicap because it is one of the sharpest ways to measure team strength, price movement, and expected performance. It reduces draw noise, handles uneven matchups better, and gives our model a cleaner way to evaluate whether the market line reflects the data. Asian Handicap also tends to keep listed signals in a narrower market range than heavily favoured 1X2 signals; across our displayed analysis set, the average listed price is 1.85. That figure describes past listed signals only and does not describe or indicate future signals.
OriginStats is built with a dedicated Asian Handicap workflow, which is less common than basic 1X2 tools. The advantage is focus: our models do not just ask which side rates higher, they ask whether the line, market movement, league context, and model probability all agree.
That is difficult to do well. Asian Handicap modelling has to handle moving lines, quarter-goal grading, provider variation, live state changes, league quality, market liquidity, returns, and partial settlements. Those details are why many analysis tools avoid it, and why we treat it as our core strength.
The model studies historical match outcomes, league strength, market medians, Asian Handicap lines, market movement, and settled signal performance. It compares the model probability with the available market value, then filters out matches where the confidence, pricing, or market agreement is not strong enough.
The design goal is selectivity. OriginStats is built to show fewer, higher-confidence signals instead of filling the page with low-confidence signals. When the data, the line, and the market movement agree, the model can surface a match that deserves closer review.
For Asian Handicap, settled outcome rate and average market price should be read together. At an average listed price of 1.85, the neutral reference rate is about 54.1% before returns, partial settlements, fees, and price changes. A higher historical settled outcome rate at that average price describes how a past signal set compares with that neutral reference; it does not indicate future performance.
OriginStats uses these figures as historical research context only. Results vary by market, date range, data availability, and settlement rules.
Full Access is the single OriginStats plan, and you choose how you pay. Monthly is $29.99/month, currently $19.99/month with no end date. Yearly is $299.99/year, currently $199.99 — that works out at $16.67/month and saves 17% against paying monthly. Either way you get the full OS Match Insights signal set — Pro and Ultimate 1X2 and Asian Handicap signals — plus full 30-day signal history. Membership also gives you OriginStats_Pro and OriginStats_Ultimate included, 15% off every other unlock, and a member-only shelf in the OriginStats shop.
It is free to activate during the current promotion, with no credit card required. Standard pricing returns after the promotional period ends.
No — the free access promotion is not running. Full Access is $19.99 a month, or $199.99 a year, which works out at $16.67 a month and saves 17% against paying monthly.
New members start with a free trial — one per account. The pricing page always shows what applies today, including how long the trial runs.
Start with the fixtures list, filter by status or date, search for teams or leagues, then compare the match context with the daily signal views. Subscribers can access deeper analysis and review more of the historical signal set, which is useful for understanding how the model has behaved over time.
Treat the data as research support. OriginStats is an informational analytics service only and does not process payments tied to match results, provide personal financial advice, or assure outcomes. The service is intended for adults aged 18 and over, where lawful.
The daily fixture view refreshes around the current match slate, and live matches can update while the page is open. Market signals and settled outcome summaries are published as part of the daily analysis workflow, so returning each day gives you a current set of matches to review.
Yes. OriginStats is for adults aged 18 and over, where lawful. Your date of birth is asked when you create an account. Before your first shop redemption you verify your identity once, with a photo ID and a live selfie, and the date of birth on your ID is the one we rely on. If the date on your account is wrong, you can ask for a correction in your account settings.
A member who finishes top 10 in a Monthly FantasyCup competition, or wins enough OriginArena brackets, is promoted to Expert. Experts price their analysis by the day or by the match, and other members unlock it with Origin Coins.
Origin Coins are what you spend to unlock an Expert's analysis; they cannot be withdrawn or converted into your US$ balance. Your US$ balance is what you win in the FantasyCup, OriginArena and OriginDaily and earn from selling analysis; you spend it in the OriginStats shop. When withdrawals are open, your US$ balance can be paid out as USDT from US$50.00, less the platform fee and the service fee. Prizes and check-in can be withdrawn at once; sale earnings release 80% after 90 days and the rest after 120 days. USDT is a digital dollar — 1 USDT is designed to track US$1. Sale earnings can be spent in the shop as they release; prizes and check-in can be spent at once.
Unlock a whole day or a single match with Origin Coins. Separately, OriginStats_Pro and OriginStats_Ultimate are included at no cost for subscribers, and every reader earns unlock passes to spend on any expert who has joined the free campaign: one when you join, one on your third active day, and one every 7 active days in a row. An active day is a game day on which you open the app, so no check-in is needed, and an unlock pass is kept until you spend it.
No. A settled day is free to read, which is what makes an Expert's public record checkable.
Four free games: FantasyCup (Weekly and Monthly), OriginArena, OriginDaily and FantasyLive. Each game's rules and prizes are on the rules page.
Prizes are credited to your US$ balance, which you spend in the OriginStats shop. You verify your identity once, before your first redemption.
Yes — each amount expires two years after the end of the month it was earned in.
Referral Coins for both of you, a promotional class of Origin Coins. What your friend sees at email verification is a preview, not a balance that has been issued yet — both sides' Coins become spendable 30 days after your friend's first payment.
Badges recognise the accuracy of your analysis across OriginStats. See the Badges page for how each one is earned and kept.